The bets are high because Canada is in a general election campaign not only for the country but also for leaders of the three major national parties.
45 of CanadaWan The federal election, which was formally closed on Sunday afternoon, will be seen elected a new Prime Minister and a new cabinet would come to power – whatever results.
Liberal Party leader Mark Karney was sworn in as Prime Minister last week after being elected to the party leader to replace Justin Trudeau, trying to return liberals to power for the fourth time in 10 years. Orthodox leader Pierre Pielevere will try to capitalize on years of anger in the Liberal brand and first establish his party into power as Stephen Harper was defeated in 2015.
Meanwhile, the new Democrats, fighting for oxygen in the competition, can be the last kick of leader Jagmeet Singh in Can. Block Cubecis is facing similar headwinds, in which Carney’s liberals are getting land in the province.
The competition will be against US President Donald Trump’s background of unprecedented economic attacks against Canada, and in the time of near-ex-uncertainty on the world stage, with a struggle in Ukraine and the Middle East, there will be a danger of a rapid muscle and the danger of climate change in a rapid muscle.
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This is also happening in the context of a dramatic if there is no unprecedented swing in the national polling. The conservatives enjoyed a comfortable leadership on liberals in voter priority as Polyvere handled the party in 2022, leading to a double -point percentage points for months at a time.
It has changed after Justin Trudeau resigned as Prime Minister in January. Since then, the popularity among liberal voters has steadily increased, and most of the national public elections are now statistically tied or enjoying a slight lead on conservatives.
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The latest Ipsos polling published on Tuesday found that if a federal election is now held to liberals, 42 percent of the voter support will benefit six percentage points on conservatives – compared to 36 percent for poelavere’s conservatives. It is a seven percent-point swing in just three weeks.
NDP is below for only 10 percent support of fixed voters. A weak performance by the new Democrats usually benefits liberals, “progressive” voters go to the red team to block a conservative victory.
There are more and more respondents’ views for poolere and conservatives, who will be the best Prime Minister, especially when the government is facing financial threats existing from the Trump administration.
IPSOS found that 42 percent of respondents have seen Carney – as still unused of the campaign – as the best option for the Prime Minister, Polywe is leading by 10 percent points.
Canadians choose MPs, not the Prime Minister, but party leaders usually have a lot of role in persuading voters.
(IPSOS Poll was organized by global news between March 14 and 17, with a sample size of 1,000 polling-class canadians and is considered accurate within 3.8 percentage points.)
But even a tie does not necessarily mean toss-up. Because conservative support is traditionally focused in western Canada, even though the elections are of the neck and neck, it means the benefit of liberals because their vote is more efficient and focused in seat-rich provinces like Ontario and Cubek.
While the strong support of Toris in provinces like Alberta and Suskechewan may be the juice of their national polling numbers, it does not translate into seats that they need to form the government. Orthodoxists won popular votes in both 2019 and 2021, but liberals were still able to form minority governments.
If conservatives draw a win, Poilieve will be seen as a savior within the party – he as a “real” conservative after the centralist shift from former leader Erin O’Tole in the government, and after the dismal loss of Andrew Sheer in 2019.
If they lose, Polyre will be the third-half conservative leader to sit in protest after failing to deny an unpopular liberal administration. Neither the leadership of his predecessors survived the general election loss.
Polylet’s grip on conservatives is either much stronger than O’Tole or Skir, but neither O’Tole nor Skir had the same time or internal party support for the preparation of their opportunity. A conservative loss can be another round of discovery of the soul, after being pioneer in national elections for so long.
Meanwhile, Carney has an opportunity to either revive the Liberal Party from the verge of collapse-or to become the smallest prime minister in modern Canadian history. The former Central Banker has never run in an election campaign, even to win a seat in the House of Commons, and is going against more experienced and experienced campaigners in both poileve and lion.
This is the third general election that Singh will lead the new Democrats, and the last two raised much less to improve the fate of the party in the House of Commons. In 2015, under Thomas Mulkare, the party won 44 seats with 19.7 percent popular vote. In 2019, Singh looked after a campaign, which reduced the party to 24 seats with 16 percent of the votes, and in 2021 the party returned 25 MPs with 17.8 percent of the vote.
With the exception of Mulkare, New Democrats do not have the tradition of party leaders after the elections, but in general elections, three disadvantages are more likely than most party leaders, which is also party.
The campaign matters, as the knowledge gained in Ottawa always reminds us. There is nothing necessary for two days of a campaign where the Canadians will be for Election Day on 28 April.
One thing is certain in this campaign, however, it is that change is coming to Ottawa, in a way or another.
& Copy 2025 Global News, a division of Chorus Entertainment Inc.
