A brief handshake can lead to the most possible results from the initial diplomatic dialogue between American and Iranian officials for Saturday.
This will probably be enough to continue the discussions, and potentially leads to the first official face-to-face talks between the two countries as President Trump left a historic nuclear deal seven years ago.
The talks held in Oman will serve as an emotion-out session to see if the Trump administration and Iran’s clerical government may move forward in full talks to limit the nuclear program of Iran.
Both sides come with high mistrust, given that Mr. Trump moved away from the 2015 agreement that Iran broke the United States and other world powers, and slapped strict sanctions on Tehran during his first term.
Mr. Trump now wants to attack a deal – both to demonstrate their interaction skills and grow into a more intense conflict to overcome the tension between Iran and Israel that will carry forward the Middle East. Iranian officials suspect, but “is ready to engage in Bayana and to seal a deal,” Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi Written in Washington Post This week.
The goals of Saturday’s meeting are modest, reflecting the gap between the two sides: to agree on the dialogue and a framework for a timeline. It is not clear whether the messengers will talk directly, as Mr. Trump has insisted, or passed the message through the Omani mediators, as Mr. Araghchi has indicated.
The Iranian delegation has planned to state that it is open to talk about cuts and allow external monitoring, according to two senior Iranian officials who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss a sensitive matter. However, he said, the negotiator is uninterrupted to discuss the disintegration of the nuclear program, which has been insisted by the Trump administration officials.
Experts estimate that Shake Or another brief encounter would be a way to satisfy both sides and send a gesture of good without direct talks.
Mr. Trump said that he would rely on the instinct whether Saturday’s talks are expected to be held in a sea coastal complex, may bloom in further conversations. “When you start the conversation, you know whether they are going well or not,” they said this week. “And I would say that the conclusion will happen when I think they are not going well. And this is just a feeling.”
what’s at stake?
There is a decreasing power of the original nuclear deal on this issue – which has been launched by European leaders since 2018, when Mr. Trump withdrew the United States – Its most punished restrictions ended in October.,
The joint is known as the comprehensive action plan and was completed under President Barack Obama, the result of laborious, technical negotiations in the agreement, which agreed to lift international sanctions against Iran in exchange for the border in his nuclear program.
Only nine countries of the world have nuclear weapons, and adding Iran to the list can lead to an existential threat to its main opponent, Israel and possibly other countries. Experts have also raised concerns This Iran can share its nuclear capabilities, potentially with terrorist groups.
Iran has long maintained that its nuclear activities are legal and not only for civil purposes, such as energy and medicine, and arms. But it has enriched uranium, which is the major component for an atomic bomb, Beyond the levels required for civil use,
In the later years of Mr. Trump, Iran has consistently intensified uranium enrichment at the point where some experts estimate that it may soon manufacture a nuclear weapon. Its economy has fallen under US sanctions, and Mr. Trump only this week New measures were taken Targeting Iran’s oil trade.
The Israeli government believes that Tehran will expand its nuclear program and is insisting on destroying it.
“The deal with Iran is only acceptable when nuclear sites are destroyed under US supervision,” Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu Said This week. “Otherwise, military option is the only option.”
While Mr. Araghchi was closely involved in the previous conversation, the expected American messenger, Steve Vitcooff has very little experience in the technical aspects of Iran’s program. He was potentially President Vladimir V. St. Petersburg was set to arrive in Oman after a visit to St. Petersburg for interaction with Putin.
Iran will extend all but certainly as long as possible diplomatic dialogue – both to delay any Israeli military action and to extend the United Nations right to the United Nations’s right to implement “Snapback” sanctions when to delay any Israeli military action.
Elliot Abrams said, “They have an opportunity to tie Israel and the United States into lumps, in which they immersed Vitcoff thinking that the conversation will produce a lot.” “And therefore the conversation begins, which shuts down Israel, and they continue, and they continue.”
A new deal, he said, “can be reached very early” – but Iran is most likely that the 2015 agreement will be slightly higher than that agreeing. Such results will disturb Israel.
It may not be enough for Mr. Trump, who had demanded a greater limit on both Iran’s missiles and its Shia Proxy forces in Iraq, Lebanon and Yemen, claiming that he signed a better deal than his democratic predecessors.
Diplomacy or struggle?
Mr. Abrams predicted that Israel would eventually strike Iran anyway. Since at least the last decline, Israel has been preparing highly accurate long -range missiles, with a hit for an aerial attack on Iran.
The Trump administration has also deployed an extraordinary military buildup in the range, including two aircraft carriers, additional B -2 stealth bombers and fighter jets, as well as air defense.
Nevertheless, Mr. Trump wants to avoid a new war in this region, which Advisors have warned Like China, other possible threats will remove military resources away, and will be separated by their efforts to be the president of peace.
“The President does not really want to use the army here,” Grain strollBiden was the top Pentagon officer for the Middle East policy during administration.
How other recent presidents settled with Iran, similarly, he said, Mr. Trump has admitted that “what a military campaign will look, and what it can actually complete, and the first diplomatic track can choose to try.”
He said that Mr. Trump is Plan to travel Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates the same next month. He said, “What are he listening to all the Arab leaders whom he is talking about,” he said.
Mr. Trump has said that he is ready for the worst. “If this requires military, we are going to be military,” he said on Wednesday, saying that Israel “will clearly be his leader.”
Iran is also steel itself. “Mark my words: Iran likes diplomacy, but knows how to defend itself,” Mr. Araghchi wrote. ,We want peace, but will never accept submissions. ,
Farnaz Fashi Contribution reporting.
